Your post #626 is wrong
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Your post #626 is wrong
This is second straight day of about 400 new cases. That represents a small surge in comparison to what was going on the previous week or so. It is generally accepted the average incubation period is 5 days, with the range being 2-14 days. Outside of moving into Phase 2 about nine days ago, there has been no broad changes that would account for this mini-surge...{peaceful protests}….
Nah! I take that back, the 400 new cases daily is not out of the norm going back about 3 weeks. It's fairly average.
Since June 1 the 7-day average of new cases has ranged between 362 (on the 1st) and 455 (on the 5th); however, the 455 includes the 755 new cases on 5/30 when no report was given on 5/29 so its not a true 7-day average. Not considering the 455 the next highest was 416 on the 6th. New cases based on the 7-day average have been between 300 to 500 since about April 20th and hovering right around 400 between May 16th and on.
Memorial Day parties were a concern for causing an uptick in positive cases. There is usually a couple weeks of delay from an activity until you start to see it in the test results (which is pretty logical when you think about incubation periods and additional transmission chains that are created). We will see an uptick from the protests, too, but we probably won’t really start to see those in the numbers until next week. Guessing it will be more significant than the uptick you see from Memorial Day.
OK, thanks for the clarification. From looking at the 7-day averages, I don't see anything out of the ordinary. It's been jumping around 400 for more than a month. I'd attribute any small increase into the fact we are seeing more testing of people who may not be aware they even have the virus. Cases in Lincoln Parish have probably gone up for this same reason.