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As long as we don’t fall flat on our face the next 2 weeks, I like our chances. I don’t see them choosing 3 Mississippi teams to host, so I think Southern Miss has a very hard road to get there. I also think the fact that LSU or ULL not being in the running for a host site helps us. Plus I think our back story with the tornado and new stadium helps us too. .
If we can at least split with ODU and win 2+ in the tournament, I think we can make it. Fingers crossed.
LSU is not in the running for hosting a regional.Originally Posted by Bone_afide_Dawg
Are you sure that can’t be changed should LSU pull off one of their crazy lucky endings and win the SEC tournament?
Yes, because the final sites will be chosen from the list above.
From the 20 initial consideration host sites; Arizona, Arkansas, East Carolina, Florida, MS State, Notre Dame, Ole Miss, Oregon, TCU (-), Tennessee, Texas, Texas Tech & Vanderbilt are what I’d consider 13 sure bets with TCU having an asterisk for their ULM catastrophe. If that marked a late season collapse TCU could fall out in the blink of an eye. They play at K-State this last weekend who are pretty good at home.
So based on my numbers of the remaining 7 lesser positioned teams; Gonzaga, Pittsburgh, S Carolina, S Miss, Stanford, Charlotte & LA Tech there are only 3 open spots. That’s awfully slim pickings made even more so considering there are 3 CUSA teams in the group of 7.
I do think Charlotte, Tech and Southern Miss are very well positioned as serious possible hosts as long as they don’t ‘lose’ their way the rest of the season.
As wild as this season has been already for Tech fans it’s not going to get any easier trying to capture hosting a NCAA first round. The thing is that with it being so historically close to being in our grasp it’d suck big time for it to slip through our fingers.
Good luck Dawgs!
Via biased SEC wishes and Ump calls of course. 🥴
Since Gonzaga is one of only three potential hosting schools in the west (along with Oregon & Arizona), I would say it's highly likely that the Zags get one of those hosting spots.
Remaining schedules (RPI Reverse order)
Pitt @ Wake Forest
USM @ C-USA Tourney
Tech vs. ODU, C-USA Tourney
Stanford @ Oregon, vs. Oregon State (Both high RPI)
CLT vs. UNCW,
Florida @ Arkansas
Gonzaga @ Oregon, vs. San Francisco
Oregon vs. Gonzaga, vs. Stanford, @ Cal
ND @ VA Tech
Ole Miss vs. TN-Martin, @ Georgia
S Carolina vs. App St, Tennessee
E Carolina @ S Florida
I’m thinking and hoping that RPIs aren’t going to be the all important deciding factors this year like they have been in the past because this Covid season has been so limiting in so many ways. I’m not going to analyze every conference, but I know plenty of conferences have done things so differently this year that RPIs are not a consistently fair measure this year like simple wins and loses are. Having said that, I’m 99% sure the NCAA will have the host sites be who they want them to be even if they have to use 10 different formulas to get them there. As much as Tech’s wins, loses and RPI plays into their chances to host, so does the story of Tech’s weather related hardships and their new facility, it’s a really good comeback story. I’m going to do all I can with crossed fingers and toes and just hope Tech continues to win.
I agree that our story would sell. TV sets and seats. I imagine people who just love baseball may turn out just to be a part of it.
This is the exact scenario I have written down. Those same 7 teams for the final 3 spots. Although I have Pittsburgh out of the running, so 6 teams for 3 spots.
I agree with HogDawg that Gonzaga will likely take one of those spots, so that would leave 5 teams for 2 spots. I'll be following South Carolina and Stanford closely this weekend (playing #4 Tennessee and #10 Oregon, respectively) hoping they lose 2 or 3 each.
I ultimately think Stanford gets to host (will be the only regional in California) and South Carolina misses the cut, leaving only 1 CUSA team to host. Unless the tournament champion is someone other than Tech, S Miss, or Charlotte, I think the tournament champion will be the one to host.
Here are the RPIs of the 20 potential hosts through Tuesday's games with results and regular season games remaining:
1 (was 1) Arkansas, home vs Florida (3), SEC
2 (was 3) Texas, game vs Rice canceled, home vs West Virginia (3), Big 12
4 (was 4) Vanderbilt, won 20-4 vs FIU, home vs Kentucky (3), SEC
5 (was 5) TCU, game vs Texas State canceled, at Kansas State (3), Big 12
6 (was 6) Arizona, won 14-3 vs New Mexico State, at Oregon State (3), vs Dixie State (3)
7 (was 8) Texas Tech, vs Kansas (3), Big 12
8 (was 7) Mississippi State, won 6-1 vs Jacksonville State, at Alabama (3), SEC
9 (was 9) Tennessee, won 11-2 vs Belmont, at South Carolina (3), SEC
10 (was 10) East Carolina, at South Florida (4), AAC
11 (was 11) South Carolina, won 2-0 vs Appalachian State, vs Tennessee (3), SEC
12 (was 13) Notre Dame, at Virginia Tech (3), ACC
13 (was 15) Oregon, won 10-3 vs Gonzaga, vs Stanford (3), at California (3)
15 (was 12) Ole Miss, lost 9-7 vs Tennessee-Martin, at Georgia (3), SEC
17 (was 17) Gonzaga, lost 10-3 at Oregon, vs San Francisco (3), vs San Diego (3)
18 (was 23) Stanford, at Oregon (3), vs Oregon State (3)
19 (was 20) Florida, at Arkansas (3), SEC
21 (was 22) Charlotte (in Gastonia), vs UNC Wilmington (3), C-USA
23 (was 24) Louisiana Tech, vs Old Dominion (2), C-USA
26 (was 28) Southern Miss, C-USA
39 (was 41) Pittsburgh, game vs Akron canceled, at Wake Forest (3), ACC
LSU lost to the NSU Demons, 7-3. That can't help the ole RPI...
NSU has a pretty big advantage though:
They're not Tech.
LSU dropped from 18 to 22, 12 RPI points or 0.0012 ahead of Tech (0.5723 to 0.5711).
Miami dropped to 24 after FAU's 3-0 win in Coral Gables last night, and that moved Tech up to 23.
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