09-11-2007, 07:22 AM - What the AGW crowd was saying back then (and are still saying) is
that there will more more of the CAT 5 storms since the surface water temperatures are increasing.
This has been shown by science to be true.
08-01-2007, 10:34 AM - OH no, Soonerdawg will be dumping a load when he reads this.....
Global Warming Causing More Atlantic Hurricanes (Update2)
By Jim Efstathiou Jr.
July 30 (Bloomberg) -- Global
warming is causing more frequent hurricanes in the North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, according to a study from the National Center for Atmospheric Research.
The increased frequency of tropical cyclones ``is largely a response'' to a 1 degree Celsius rise in sea water temperatures since 1905 that was caused by greenhouse gases, the study found. Since 1995, the North Atlantic has experienced an average of 15 tropical storms a year, of which eight became strong enough to be called hurricanes. That compares with 10 tropical storms and five hurricanes per year from 1930 to 1994, the report says.
``There is an 80 percent chance that the majority of the current increases have been impacted by global warming,'' said Greg Holland, director of the research center in Boulder, Colorado, and co-author of the study. ``The bad news is that we've gone up in numbers overall, and in the proportion of major hurricanes as well.''
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...M&refer=canada
05-24-2007, 08:29 AM -
Hurricanes are driven by water temperatures. AGW doesn't mean a change in the number of hurricanes, just that there will be more of the most intense ones.
Note: the reasercher in the above mentioned article made his conclusions based on indirect geologic evidence. Conclusions about the effect of AGW on hurricane intensity are based on current observations of sub-surface water temperatures.
05-26-2007, 12:33 PM - What i'm saying is that the intensity of hurricanes is directly related to near surface water temperatures.
That has been proven by modern science. The "little ice age" you refer to occurred in Europe.......what the sea temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico were during those years is not established to the best of my knowledge.
As far as El Nino and African Monsoon are concerned, it seems they are related to the frequency of hurricanes.