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Thread: Global Warming Cont...

  1. #2131
    Champ saltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your time saltydawg's Avatar
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Quote Originally Posted by arkansasbob View Post
    how many times on this very thread have we been warned about runaway greenhouse effect? anyone?
    ZERO.

    "All roads lead to Putin" -- Thomas Jefferson



  2. #2132
    Champ saltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your time saltydawg's Avatar
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Dogtor, all of those recent posts of yours are "chicken-little" like in nature, n'est-pas? Better to spend money on saving the planet than on frozen pizza, corn-dogs, or 5,000 sq. ft McMansions.

    "All roads lead to Putin" -- Thomas Jefferson



  3. #2133
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    Dogtor, all of those recent posts of yours are "chicken-little" like in nature
    Chicken little?

    Guaranteed - the costs for 80% reductions in CO2 emissions (as prescribed by Kyoto, Kobe, Lieberman, etc.) are REAL and will be in the trillions

    Speculation - that the Global warming trend from 1950-2001 (or is it Climate Change this month?) due to burning of fossil fuels . The temperature trend has been flat since then. 2007 was pretty cool actually.

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    n'est-pas?
    BTW, it's "n'est-ce pas"

    http://www.merriam-webster.com/dicti...9;est-ce%20pas
    http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/n'est-ce_pas
    http://www.yourdictionary.com/n-est-ce-pas

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    Better to spend money on saving the planet than on frozen pizza, corn-dogs, or 5,000 sq. ft McMansions.
    WTF? corn dogs? Youy must be an LSU fan.

    If US money is to be spent on "saving the planet" for CO2 emissions, it is better spent on (A) reducing our dependance on oil and (B) remediation/removal of CO2 from the atmosphere.

    Surely you've seen the models and how the various reductions in CO2 emiisions have very lttle near term effect on reducing atmospheric CO2.

  4. #2134
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    Minority report. Sen. Inhofe just playing with himself again.
    Errrr, what about the 400 scientists? Oh wait, their quacks, lunatics, being paid by oil companies, etc.

  5. #2135
    Champ saltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your time saltydawg's Avatar
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Quote Originally Posted by DogtorEvil View Post
    Chicken little?

    Guaranteed - the costs for 80% reductions in CO2 emissions (as prescribed by Kyoto, Kobe, Lieberman, etc.) are REAL and will be in the trillions

    Speculation - that the Global warming trend from 1950-2001 (or is it Climate Change this month?) due to burning of fossil fuels . The temperature trend has been flat since then. 2007 was pretty cool actually.



    BTW, it's "n'est-ce pas"

    http://www.merriam-webster.com/dicti...9;est-ce%20pas
    http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/n'est-ce_pas
    http://www.yourdictionary.com/n-est-ce-pas



    WTF? corn dogs? Youy must be an LSU fan.

    If US money is to be spent on "saving the planet" for CO2 emissions, it is better spent on (A) reducing our dependance on oil and (B) remediation/removal of CO2 from the atmosphere.

    Surely you've seen the models and how the various reductions in CO2 emiisions have very lttle near term effect on reducing atmospheric CO2.
    You mean nobody buys corn-dogs in Ruston?????????????????????

    Glad you agree that we need to reduce our use of oil and remove CO2 from the atmosphere.

    Thanks for the correction on my Francais. Or whatever it's called theses days.

    Nothing speculative about the cause of the current global warming....it's from the burning of fossil fuels. Stay tuned, new developments are on their way.

    "All roads lead to Putin" -- Thomas Jefferson



  6. #2136
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    Glad you agree that we need to...remove CO2 from the atmosphere.
    Wrong. don't agree with this at all/ However, if we must do something because of the current political situation associated with 0gasp0 climate change. The most expeditious way to do it is to remove the C)2 directly rather than waiting around for more nuclear power plants to be built and a replacement for the ICE.

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    Nothing speculative about the cause of the current global warming....it's from the burning of fossil fuels. Stay tuned, new developments are on their way.
    It's speculation, manily driven by the dogma/drama of the "greens".

    And I'm very tuned to it...just seeing nothing new. from the alarmists.

  7. #2137
    Champ DogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond repute DogtorEvil's Avatar
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    You mean nobody buys corn-dogs in Ruston?????????????????????

    Glad you agree that we need to reduce our use of oil and remove CO2 from the atmosphere.

    Thanks for the correction on my Francais. Or whatever it's called theses days.

    Nothing speculative about the cause of the current global warming....it's from the burning of fossil fuels. Stay tuned, new developments are on their way.
    Why are you freaking out about being outed as a non-Louisiana Tech person?

    Johnny = Tech
    Tyler = Tech
    Guisslapp = Tech
    Mildawg = Tech
    Altadawg = Tech
    randerizer = Tech
    Dawgfan 71227 = Tech
    daybreaker2 = Tech
    dawg80 = Tech
    abomina gorilla = Tech
    duckbillplatty = Tech
    me = Tech
    etc., etc, etc.

    You = no association whatsoever with Tech other than to come onto a Louisiana Tech sports message board to promote your agenda and belittle real Tech fans

    Notice the difference?

    ROFLMAO, you're a troll .. I think that you and Spinoza are two low-life, no life douchebags whose only joys in life are trying to convince the world of your self-perceived intellgence and that you get off on going onto a message board and spilling your schtick in an attempt to stir up conversation you can't find otherwise in your pitiful lives. On most other sports message boards, you would have been banned s a long time ago. The only reason you're still around here and not on some other board is because your pathetic self hasn;t been run out of here.

    Seriously, you need to get a life....somewhere else. There are plenty of educated, articulate, intelligent, respectful non-NeoCon Tech supporters on this board that can represent your opinion, albeit they'll be engaging in discussions elsewhere on the board.

  8. #2138
    Champ saltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your timesaltydawg Ultimate jerk and not worth your time saltydawg's Avatar
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Thanks for your opinion. But you do sound a bit Marxist to me.

    "All roads lead to Putin" -- Thomas Jefferson



  9. #2139
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    Thanks for your opinion.
    You = no association whatsoever with Tech other than to come onto a Louisiana Tech sports message board to promote your agenda and belittle real Tech fans

    ROFLMAO, you're a troll .. I think that you and Spinoza are two low-life, no life douchebags whose only joys in life are trying to convince the world of your self-perceived intelligence and that you get off on going onto a message board and spilling your schtick in an attempt to stir up conversation you can't find otherwise in your pitiful lives. On most other sports message boards, you would have been banned s a long time ago. The only reason you're still around here and not on some other board is because your pathetic self hasn’t been run out of here.

    Seriously, you need to get a life....somewhere else. There are plenty of educated, articulate, intelligent, respectful non-NeoCon Tech supporters on this board that can represent your opinion, albeit they'll be engaging in discussions elsewhere on the board

  10. #2140
    Champ DogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond reputeDogtorEvil has a reputation beyond repute DogtorEvil's Avatar
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    an interesting interview with a global warming agnostic:

    Analyzing Global-warming Science

    By: William F. Jasper
    February 18, 2008

    http://www.thenewamerican.com/node/7009#SlideFrame_1

    some excerpts. Hit the link for the full interview and the associated graphs

    Interview of Dr. Arthur Robinson by William F. Jasper

    Dr. Arthur Robinson is a professor of chemistry and is cofounder of the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine, which was created in 1980 to conduct basic and applied research in subjects applicable to increasing the quality, quantity, and length of human life. As part of his work, he edits the newsletter Access to Energy.

    Dr. Robinson, in collaboration with other scientists, was one of the early critics of doomsday global-warming theories. He has authored articles and created video presentations demonstrating that the hypothesis of human-caused global warming is wrong, showing that the hypothesis is not supported by the observable evidence. To come to this conclusion, Professor Robinson and his colleagues brought together the findings of hundreds of peer-reviewed studies about all aspects of the global-warming hypothesis.

    THE NEW AMERICAN: Flip on any channel, open any newspaper or magazine, and it’s clear we are being bombarded with the message that the Earth is warming. Is there any merit to this claim?
    Dr. Arthur Robinson: Yes, but the temperature is only going up 0.5° C per century. Moreover, this increase is not being caused by human activity.
    TNA: Those who blame mankind for causing global warming would respond to that point by saying that the Earth is the warmest it’s been in 400 years, and that’s significant.
    Dr. Robinson: They’re right, but they only show you the data from the last 400 years. If the data for a longer time interval is considered, temperatures today are seen to be not especially warm. The current temperature is about average for the past 3,000 years. It was much warmer during the Medieval Climate Optimum 1,000 years ago (see Figure 1). The climate, as we know from historical records, was just fine during that warm period. In fact, it was a little better. So, yes, it is the warmest in 400 years.
    Moreover, the temperature, which is going up very slowly, is correlated with the sun’s activity, not hydrocarbon use (see Figure 3).
    TNA: Those same people would say that science has spoken, that CO2 is the cause. What do you say?
    Dr. Robinson: Gore, et al., tell us that CO2 is a pollutant, and that humans have caused this terrible problem. But actually the atmosphere contains lots of carbon dioxide. Carbon dioxide, water, and oxygen are required for life. Without these substances in the atmosphere, life would not be possible.
    TNA: Al Gore also says that the UN’s IPCC has spoken, and the debate is over, because there is a consensus. What do you say to that?
    Dr. Robinson: Right now the UN claims that they have about 2,500 people involved in this and about 600 scientists seriously involved. This is what Al Gore would point to today.
    We have more than 22,000 scientist signers of our global-warming petition who’ve looked at the issue and concluded essentially the opposite of these United Nations people. This says nothing about the science. Science does not depend on polling. Just because we have 22,000, and the UN may have 600, does not matter. The only thing our petition demonstrates is that there is no consensus among scientists in support of the UN claims.
    Scientific questions are never settled in this way. Science is about natural truth. The truth doesn’t require any advocate. It stands by itself.
    In science, a scientist may discover the truth about something. Then he develops a hypothesis, and the hypothesis is tested by various means. So long as the hypothesis passes experimental tests, it becomes stronger and is further relied upon — unless it fails an experimental test. If it is a very fine hypothesis with wide utility, it may spread throughout the entire scientific community and become part of the basis of scientific knowledge. The process by which this is done is not what is important. The truth is important. Scientific truth is not determined by polling or by convening meetings.
    TNA: But when looking at the pronouncements of the United Nations — IPCC and the media, the average viewer would be led to believe that they’ve figured global warming out.
    Dr. Robinson: Climate science is a very primitive science. The atmosphere is a complicated system, somewhat similar to human biochemistry. We know some things, but we don’t know most of the needed facts. As you know, climatologists have trouble predicting the weather a week or two in advance. They surely cannot predict climate many years in the future.
    There are some very fine scientists, like Richard Lindzen at MIT, who work on the details of climate theory and attempt to understand the atmosphere in detail. They are inching forward toward the eventual solution of this very complex system. Today, this system can only be evaluated empirically because it is not yet understood.
    We can show that the hypothesis of human-caused global warming is false, however, because we have enough empirical data to falsify this hypothesis. Human-caused global warming is a hypothesis that has failed so many experimental tests that it is clearly without merit.
    TNA: To the average person, those IPCC reports look very authoritative, very intimidating. It looks to us like a battle between two sides of experts. How do we know whom to believe?
    Dr. Robinson: First, just because the UN has spent an enormous amount of money to convene meetings of 600 mostly self-interested people — many of whom are receiving research grants and other perks for participating — to try to determine something that isn’t knowable with current data and techniques, and produce a report, proves nothing.
    Moreover, many of these 600 disagree with the conclusions that the UN-IPCC advertises. The scientists are never allowed to approve or disapprove the final report, and many of the comments that they submit for publication in the report are rejected by UN bureaucrats.
    First, the report that is initially released to the public by the UN-IPCC is an executive summary put together by a handful of people including bureaucrats, politicians, UN operatives, and a few scientists. They issue a summary report with UN propaganda in it. They then go back to the reports of the 600 scientists and insert sentences into those reports so that they will conform to the summary.
    At no time in this process do the 600 ever vote approval or disapproval of their own report or of the summary report. So this report is not even approved by the people who are claimed to have authored it. This is a fraudulent process.
    TNA: Don’t they use the same set of data as you do?
    Dr. Robinson: Yes, for the most part. Except that they often unethically omit that part of the data that does not agree with their hypothesis. They pick the parts of the data that favor their conclusion and discard the rest.
    If you play with the data, you can falsify with it. So the UN is picking parts of the data. We are considering it all.
    TNA: Scientists who are not intimidated to speak out about this are typically charged by the enviros as being paid by the oil companies.
    Dr. Robinson: Well, we’ve never been fortunate enough to receive any money from them, and I mean in any way, personally, professionally in our laboratory, or anything. We have never received a dime from anybody who has a specific economic interest in this issue. However, UN power to control and ration world energy — the real goal of their activities — would have a terrible, negative impact on the lives of all Americans. In that sense, all of our supporters have an economic interest.
    TNA: Al Gore also makes a big deal about glacier recession.
    Dr. Robinson: But he only shows the data for the limited time intervals that seem to support his claims. Here is the world glacier curve (see Figure 2) based on an average of all the world’s glaciers for which there are good records. Some glaciers are actually increasing, but on average the glaciers are decreasing — toward the more normal lengths that are typical of long-term average world temperatures. This curve is offset by 20 years because there is about a 20-year lag between the temperature increase and the shortening of the glaciers.
    So the temperature increase reflected in the glacier lengths begins in about 1800. The glaciers have been shortening for 200 years. They started shortening a century before significant amounts of CO2 were produced by human activity. Notice also that the shortening is linear. Hydrocarbon use increased six-fold and the glacier melting rate did not change at all.
    The glaciers started shortening long before we were using significant amounts of hydrocarbons, and, when we increased our use by six-fold, the shortening rate did not change. Therefore, human hydrocarbon use is evidently not the cause of glacier shortening or the mild natural temperature increase that is causing that shortening.
    TNA: So what is causing the Earth to warm?
    Dr. Robinson: A good clue is contained in data showing arctic air temperature vs. solar activity (see Figure 3). There is a good correlation. Surface temperature vs. solar activity data also correlates well (see Figure 4).
    TNA: What about Gore’s demonstration in his movie, with those very large graphs, that CO2 tracks right along with temperature and is, therefore, the cause of that warming?
    Dr. Robinson: In those curves, the temperature goes up before the CO2 and goes down before the CO2. The CO2 lags the temperature. And the reason it does is that the CO2 rise is caused by the temperature rise rather than vice versa. As temperatures rise, carbon dioxide is released from the oceans, just as the carbon dioxide is released from soft drinks when their temperature rises. Gore shows the curves with poor resolution, so that this cannot be seen by the viewer. His film is filled with dozens of other deliberate errors and misrepresentations.
    My favorite is the part where Gore says that “the scientists who specialize in global warming have computer models that long ago predicted this range of temperature increase.” He then displays a graph of their alleged “predictions” and the claimed actual temperatures.
    This graph is bogus in several ways, but the most striking is that the computer-predicted curve begins in 1938 — before either Al Gore or the computer had been invented. Unless Al Gore invented the computer before he was born, and didn’t show it to anybody but climate modelers until after WWII, this is impossible, because there were no computers in 1938!
    TNA: Speaking of computers, allowing the UN to take over the world’s energy would have a big effect on our higher standard of living, would it not?
    Dr. Robinson: An estimated nine percent of the energy of the United States is now used to power computers and the Internet. This technology cannot exist without energy. Automobiles require energy. You cannot warm your home without energy.
    If the UN controls, rations, and taxes energy, they will have the power to determine whether you can run a wood stove, whether you can run an automobile, or can use any of the technology that makes our modern life possible.
    When you say this to people, their eyes glaze over. They don’t believe it’s going to happen.
    The power to tax and ration energy is the power to control the world — to have life and death control over every human being on the planet. No government should ever have this power. The United Nations-IPCC process is not about the climate or saving the environment. It is about power and money — lots of it.
    Should Gore and the UN succeed, the effect will not only be diminished prosperity in the United States. In underdeveloped countries, billions of people are lifting themselves from poverty by means of hydrocarbon energy. If their energy supplies are rationed and taxed, they will slip backwards into poverty, misery, and death. This fits the population control agenda of the United Nations.
    If the misuse and falsification of the scientific method that drives the human-caused global-warming mania succeeds, it will cause the greatest acts of human genocide the world has ever known. It must be stopped.

  11. #2141
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Warmists in Frantic Effort to Save their Failing Theory
    By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM

    http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-b...ailing_theory/

    The global warmers are becoming increasingly desperate to prop up their failing prophesy in every way possible. Behaving just as Leon Festinger predicted in When Prophecies Fail. As the earth shows no net warming in a decade and cooling into its 7th year, as new models suggest cooling may continue because of natural ocean cycles, as the sun stays quiet now 12 years since the last solar minimum, usually a signal of cooling, as more and more peer review calls into question the importance of CO2 and of the the accuracy of the models and the entire greenhouse theory because of the failure of fingerprinting, the alarmists begin a frantic effort to save their failing theory. You see so many have won the lottery and want to ensure the annuity checks keep coming.

    As we indicated in an earlier blog, they are now busy reinventing old data. The Hadley Center has repeatedly refused to release lists of the stations used in compiling their global data sets or in their papers claiming the data shows no urban adjustment is needed. NASA and NOAA continually revises old data and makes gross assumptions that always result in more warming. The old reliable radiosonde weather balloon data gets challenged because it (and the satellite derived data) do not show the warming the models and theory predict for the high tropical atmophere. A legitimate scientist would trust the data and assume the models are in error (as models so often are) but to these agenda driven alarmists, the models must be right and the data wrong. But because they can’t challenge the satellite data which has been quality assured and passed the sniff test, they go after the weather balloon data. They use some of the same unsound tricks that get more warming in the global data and revise the old balloon data to get better agreement with the models. See the ludicrous adusted data (RAOB 1.4 in black) in the diagram below.

    See larger image here

    They don’t stop there. They try a left end run by using winds as a proxy for temperatures to show the warming not shown by the balloon temperature measurements was really there (see May 26 Warm Winds Comfort Climate Models). In the same Natural Geoscience Journal issue, coincidentally, Peter Thorne of Britain Met Office Hadley Centre in a commentary wrote “The new study “provides ... long-awaited experimental verification of model predictions.” All these efforts were “fast-tracked” through the Journal of Climate and Nature in record time to show the complicity of the AMS and Nature in the whole scam.

    Then there is that mid-century cold period, well-documented in many cold and snow records that were set in the 1960s into the 1970s but a thorn in the side of the alarmists as when combined with the apparent current cooling might imply cyclical behavior which would be hard to explain away without considering natural factors. So the solution - again find fault with the data. NASA and NOAA make adjustments to their “adjustments” to minimize the cooling then and now. Now they suddenly discover in a paper in the latest Nature that the ocean temperature measurement techniques did not change at once but gradually (something well known for years) and making that slower correction for the ocean changes results in at least part of the mid-century cold period become an artifact. This now will allow models to tweak back on the aerosol “fudge factor” adjustment they had to use to explain the cooling (since they downplay the sun and don’t handle ocean cycles well). Diminishing the cyclical look will allow them to argue this current cooling is a brief anomaly not totally inconsistent with their models, at least for a while longer. Unfortunately it may be a long enough period to allow congress and the new President to do something stupid. No on further reflection, that would be nothing unusual, I should have said REALLY stupid.

  12. #2142
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    The Deniers: Our spotless sun
    Posted: May 31, 2008, 3:07 AM by NP Editor

    http://network.nationalpost.com/np/b...tless-sun.aspx

    With the debate focused on a warming Earth, the icy consequences of a cooler future have not been considered

    By Lawrence Solomon

    You probably haven’t heard much of Solar Cycle 24, the current cycle that our sun has entered, and I hope you don’t. If Solar Cycle 24 becomes a household term, your lifestyle could be taking a dramatic turn for the worse. That of your children and their children could fare worse still, say some scientists, because Solar Cycle 24 could mark a time of profound long-term change in the climate. As put by geophysicist Philip Chapman, a former NASA astronaut-scientist and former president of the National Space Society, “It is time to put aside the global warming dogma, at least to begin contingency planning about what to do if we are moving into another little ice age.”

    The sun, of late, is remarkably free of eruptions: It has lost its spots. By this point in the solar cycle, sunspots would ordinarily have been present in goodly numbers. Today’s spotlessness — what alarms Dr. Chapman and others — may be an anomaly of some kind, and the sun may soon revert to form. But if it doesn’t – and with each passing day, the speculation in the scientific community grows that it will not – we could be entering a new epoch that few would welcome.

    Sunspots have been well documented throughout human history, starting in the fourth century BC, with written descriptions by Gan De, a Chinese astronomer. In 1128, an English monk, John of Worcester, was the first person known to have drawn sunspots, and after the telescope’s arrival in the early 1600s, observations and drawings became commonplace, including by such luminaries as Galileo Galilei. Then, to the astonishment of astronomers, they saw the sunspots diminish and die out altogether.

    This was the case during the Little Ice Age, a period starting in the 15th or 16th century and lasting centuries, says NASA’s Goddard Space Centre, which links the absence of sunspots to the cold that then descended on Earth. During the coldest part of the Little Ice Age, a time known as the Maunder Minimum (named after English astronomer Edward Maunder), astronomers saw only about 50 sunspots over a 30-year period, less than one half of 1% of the sunspots that would normally have been expected. Other Minimums — times of low sunspot activity — also corresponded to times of unusual cold.

    The consequences of the Little Ice Age, because they occurred in relatively recent times, have come down to us through literature and the arts as well as from historians and scientists, government and business records. When Shakespeare wrote of “lawn as white as driven snow,” he had first-hand experience – Europe was bitterly cold in his day, a sharp contrast to the very warm weather that preceded his birth. During the Little Ice Age, the River Thames froze over, the Dutch developed the ice skate and the great artists of the day learned to love a new genre: the winter landscape.

    In what had been a warm Europe , adaptations were not all happy: Growing seasons in England and Continental Europe generally became short and unreliable, which led to shortages and famine. These hardships were nothing compared to the more northerly countries: Glaciers advanced rapidly in Greenland, Iceland, Scandinavia and North America, making vast tracts of land uninhabitable. The Arctic pack ice extended so far south that several reports describe Eskimos landing their kayaks in Scotland. Finland’s population fell by one-third, Iceland’s by half, the Viking colonies in Greenland were abandoned altogether, as were many Inuit communities. The cold in North America spread so far south that, in the winter of 1780, New York Harbor froze, enabling people to walk from Manhattan to Staten Island.

    In the same way that the Earth shivered when sunspots disappeared, the Earth warmed when sunspot activity became pronounced. The warm period about 1000 years ago known as the Medieval Warm Period — a time of bounty in which grapes grew in England and Greenland was colonized — also was a time of high sunspot activity, called the Medieval Maximum. Since 1900, Earth has experienced what astronomers call “the Modern Maximum” — the 20th century has again been a time of high sunspot activity.

    But the 1900s are gone, along with the high temperatures that accompanied them. The last 10 years have seen no increase in temperatures — they reached a plateau and then remained there — and the last year saw a precipitous decline. How much lower and for how long the temperatures will fall, if at all, no one yet knows — the science is far from settled on what drives climate.

    But many are watching the sun for answers, and for good reason. Several renowned scientists have been predicting for some time that the world could enter a period of cooling right around now, with consequences that could be dire. “The next little ice age would be much worse than the previous one and much more harmful than anything warming may do,” believes Dr. Chapman. “There are many more people now and we have become dependent on a few temperate agricultural areas, especially in the U.S. and Canada. Global warming would increase agricultural output, but global cooling will decrease it.”

    We are now at the beginning of Solar Cycle 24, so named because it is the 24th consecutive cycle that astronomers have listed, starting with the first cycle that began in March, 1755, and ended in June, 1766. Each cycle lasts an average of approximately 11 years; each is marked by sunspots that first erupt in the mid latitudes of the sun, and then, over the course of the 11 years, erupt progressively toward the sun’s equator; each is marked by a change in the polarity of the sun’s hemispheres; each changes the temperature on Earth in ways that humans don’t fully understand, but cannot in all honesty deny.




  13. #2143
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Carbon's Power Brokers

    By George F. Will
    Sunday, June 1, 2008; Page B07

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...053002521.html

    An unprecedentedly radical government grab for control of the American economy will be debated this week when the Senate considers saving the planet by means of a cap-and-trade system to ration carbon emissions. The plan is co-authored (with John Warner) by Joe Lieberman, an ardent supporter of John McCain, who supports Lieberman's legislation and recently spoke about "the central facts of rising temperatures, rising waters and all the endless troubles that global warming will bring."

    Speaking of endless troubles, "cap-and-trade" comes cloaked in reassuring rhetoric about the government merely creating a market, but government actually would create a scarcity so that government could sell what it had made scarce. The Wall Street Journal underestimates cap-and-trade's perniciousness when it says the scheme would create a new right ("allowances") to produce carbon dioxide and would put a price on the right. Actually, because freedom is the silence of the law, that right has always existed in the absence of prohibitions. With cap-and-trade, government would create a right for itself-- an extraordinarily lucrative right to ration Americans' exercise of their traditional rights.

    Businesses with unused emission allowances could sell their surpluses to businesses that exceed their allowances. The more expensive and constraining the allowances, the more money government would gain.

    If carbon emissions are the planetary menace that the political class suddenly says they are, why not a straightforward tax on fossil fuels based on each fuel's carbon content? This would have none of the enormous administrative costs of the baroque cap-and-trade regime. And a carbon tax would avoid the uncertainties inseparable from cap-and-trade's government allocation of emission permits sector by sector, industry by industry. So a carbon tax would be a clear and candid incentive to adopt energy-saving and carbon-minimizing technologies. That is the problem.

    A carbon tax would be too clear and candid for political comfort. It would clearly be what cap-and-trade deviously is, a tax, but one with a known cost. Therefore, taxpayers would demand a commensurate reduction of other taxes. Cap-and-trade -- government auctioning permits for businesses to continue to do business -- is a huge tax hidden in a bureaucratic labyrinth of opaque permit transactions.

    The proper price of permits for carbon emissions should reflect the future warming costs of current emissions. That is bound to be a guess based on computer models built on guesses. Lieberman guesses that the market value of all permits would be "about $7 trillion by 2050." Will that staggering sum pay for a $7 trillion reduction of other taxes? Not exactly.

    It would go to a Climate Change Credit Corporation, which Lieberman calls "a private-public entity" that, operating outside the budget process, would invest "in many things." This would be industrial policy, a.k.a. socialism, on a grand scale -- government picking winners and losers, all of whom will have powerful incentives to invest in lobbyists to influence government's thousands of new wealth-allocating decisions.

    Lieberman's legislation also would create a Carbon Market Efficiency Board empowered to "provide allowances and alter demands" in response to "an impact that is much more onerous" than expected. And Lieberman says that if a foreign company selling a product in America "enjoys a price advantage over an American competitor" because the American firm has had to comply with the cap-and-trade regime, "we will impose a fee" on the foreign company "to equalize the price." Protectionism-masquerading-as-environmentalism will thicken the unsavory entanglement of commercial life and political life.

    McCain, who supports Lieberman's unprecedented expansion of government's regulatory reach, is the scourge of all lobbyists (other than those employed by his campaign). But cap-and-trade would be a bonanza for K Street, the lobbyists' habitat, because it would vastly deepen and broaden the upside benefits and downside risks that the government's choices mean for businesses.

    McCain, the political hygienist, is eager to reduce the amount of money in politics. But cap-and-trade, by hugely increasing the amount of politics in the allocation of money, would guarantee a surge of money into politics.

    Regarding McCain's "central facts," the U.N.'s World Meteorological Organization, which helped establish the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change -- co-winner, with Al Gore, of the Nobel Peace Prize -- says global temperatures have not risen in a decade. So Congress might be arriving late at the save-the-planet party. Better late than never? No. When government, ever eager to expand its grip on the governed and their wealth, manufactures hysteria as an excuse for doing so, then: better never.

  14. #2144
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    Quote Originally Posted by saltydawg View Post
    "Supposedly", the oceans were frozen solid one mile thick on the surface. Of course, at that time there was only one continent. Not sure if the Earth was 100% covered in ice but even 95% would be a lot. It's was a case of runaway global cooling and supposedly happened several times during Earth's history. As you are aware, runaway global warming is not possible here on Earth.

    "Snowball" Earth is generally accepted by scientists who study that sort of thing. As the ice sheets expand, more solar radiation is reflected back into space cooling the planet even more. Since the main continent is along the equator, ocean currents that regulated the climate were not effective in transferring heat from the equator up to the polars.
    Once again, Salty, you are big on "sensational" propaganda but can only come up with vague generalizations that you can't back up.

    I'm a scientist, and have an in depth background in geological matters. I don't accept any thing called "Snowball" Earth and as I stated before, I know of no reputable data that even suggests that the entire oceans ( or even 95% as you weasel word) was totally covered with ice, particularly one mile thick. I'm sure you can go dig up some tripe from some ultra leftist or super "environmentalist" blog that will say what you posted. That doesn't make it real!!!!!

  15. #2145
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    Re: Global Warming Cont...

    "What they missed--and which far too few people miss--is that currently, left-leaning people are actually right-leaning, and *don't know it*.

    The supposedly 'left-leaning' people of today, i.e., the Greens, environmentalists, organic farmers, 'Fair Trade' advocates, etc.
    But, they're actually right-leaning. They want more government, more bureaucracy, more regulation. They oppose free trade.
    All in the name of what's 'good and holy', but *they* get to define what's 'good and holy'. Which is the classical definition of elitism.
    When elitists of this stripe claim to be left-leaning, but actually lean to the right, it's easily recognized as classical fascism."

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